Not Even Looking At the Glass

I don’t like to think of myself as an optimist or a pessimist, really. Heck this week, I’ve just been busy. I realize this is only the second day of the week, but that’s the way it’s been. In light of all that busyosity I haven’t had time to give a ton of thought to Indiana’s trip to MSG to face Pittsburgh tonight. The few ounces of thought I have given it say this: the Hoosiers lose tonight. The Big Ten Geeks think it will be close because Pitt hasn’t beaten anyone and needed double OT to beat Duquesne. I hope they’re right. Hell, I hope if they’re wrong, it’s because the Hoosiers pulled out the W. Unfortunately, the numbers for Pitt and IU say to me that the Panthers are good at defense in general. More specifically, they hang their hats on cleaning up the defensive glass and keeping their opponents off the free throw line. On offense, they get to the free throw line and make a lot of 2-pointers.

In contrast, IU is not especially good at offense. Their biggest strengths are on the offensive glass and getting to the free throw line. Those match up with Pitt’s defensive strengths. On D, the Hoosiers are pretty middle of the road in defending 2-pointers. From watching games, my feeling is that these Hoosiers have a very hard time defending the paint, and that is where the Panthers make their hay. It could be a tough night for these young, skinny Hoosiers.

But let’s stick with not looking at that glass. Let’s wait and see what happens when the game is played in our TV sets.

Maryland vs. Indiana HD Box 12-1-09

Maryland vs Indiana
12/1/09 7:32 p.m. at Assembly Hall, Bloomington, Ind.

Maryland                Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF PPWS
Mosley, Sean           38:30  +15  13/74  5- 8  0- 1  3- 4  9/54  3/20  1/75  4/74  0/43  2/33  7/50   3 1.19
Vasquez, Greivis       36:14  + 9  23/73  2- 9  2- 5 13-14 14/52  8/19  0/69  3/69  1/40  2/33  3/46   1 1.11
Hayes, Eric            35:45  + 9  14/70  3- 6  2- 4  2- 2 10/48  2/16  1/69  2/68  0/41  0/32  1/47   3 1.28
Milbourne, Landon      29:07  +19  19/65  7- 9  1- 2  2- 2 11/42  1/13  3/57  4/56  2/33  4/24  3/43   3 1.59
Williams, Jordan       28:30  + 6   5/52  2- 7  0- 0  1- 5  7/43  0/16  1/56  2/55  2/30  2/29  9/33   2 0.53
Bowie, Adrian          12:37  - 1   5/24  2- 4  0- 0  1- 2  4/17  0/ 7  1/24  3/24  0/12  0/11  1/10   2 1.01
Padgett, James         11:05  + 3   0/24  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/12  1/ 8  1/21  0/20  1/14  0/ 5  3/16   3   --
Choi, Jin Soo           8:11    0   1/18  0- 0  0- 0  1- 2  0/ 7  0/ 5  0/14  0/14  0/ 7  0/ 3  2/ 5   2 1.05
TOTALS                 40:00          80 21-43  5-12 23-31    55 15/26  8/79 18/78  6/44 11/34 30/50  19 1.15
                                          .488  .417  .742        .577  .101  .231  .136  .324  .600    

Indiana                 Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF PPWS
Jones III, Verdell     28:25  - 8   6/48  3-11  0- 4  0- 0 15/51  3/14  0/58  3/58  0/31  4/38  6/27   2 0.40
Creek, Maurice         28:04  - 5  19/55  3- 5  3- 9  4- 4 14/48  1/11  0/54  1/52  0/29  3/31  1/23   3 1.19
Watford, Christian     25:56  - 1  16/43  4- 8  1- 1  5- 7  9/39  1/11  2/49  5/49  2/30  1/24  2/30   1 1.30
Pritchard, Tom         25:03  -11   2/34  1- 2  0- 0  0- 0  2/36  0/12  0/43  0/45  0/23  2/25  2/18   4 1.00
Dumes, Devan           23:30  + 1   8/33  0- 4  2- 6  2- 2 10/33  2/ 9  1/32  1/35  0/20  2/22  0/15   2 0.73
Hulls, Jordan          20:37  - 8   5/38  0- 1  1- 4  2- 2  5/44  2/11  0/41  0/38  0/18  1/34  0/13   2 0.84
Elston, Derek          19:52  - 4   5/38  2- 8  0- 2  1- 3 10/42  1/10  1/41  2/43  0/23  4/33  5/14   4 0.44
Rivers, Jeremiah       18:56  -12   5/30  2- 4  0- 0  1- 3  4/31  2/ 8  1/39  4/40  1/24  2/24  4/19   2 0.92
Moore, Daniel           4:50  - 1   2/10  1- 1  0- 0  0- 1  1/ 9  1/ 3  0/ 9  0/11  0/ 7  0/ 6  0/ 5   2 1.36
Jobe, Tijan             3:30  - 4   0/ 6  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 6  0/ 2  0/ 7  0/ 5  0/ 6  0/ 4  0/ 2   0   --
Capobianco, Bobby       3:29  - 4   0/ 5  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 9  0/ 1  0/ 6  0/ 7  0/ 4  0/ 7  0/ 4   0   --
TOTALS                 40:00          68 16-44  7-26 15-22    70 13/23  5/78 16/79  3/43 20/50 23/34  22 0.85
                                          .364  .269  .682        .565  .064  .203  .070  .400  .676    

Efficiency: Maryland 1.026, Indiana 0.861
eFG%: Maryland 51.8, Indiana 37.9
Substitutions: Maryland 35, Indiana 46

2-pt shot selection
Dunks: Maryland 0-0, Indiana 1-2
Layups/Tips: Maryland 13-29, Indiana 7-27
Jumpers: Maryland 8-14, Indiana 8-15

The HD Box Score is something created by Ken Pomeroy, which I've tried to duplicate for my own purposes. kenpom explains the data here. The only thing different here is the Points Per Weighted Shot (PPWS) column, which John Gasaway (the erstwhile Big Ten Wonk) told me about here.

Maryland                ScPoss  Poss    PtsProd FlrPct  ORat    Usage   OEff+/- DEff+/- EffMargin+/-
Milbourne, Landon       7.53    13.49   17.02   0.56    126.12  24.10   47.89   -55.66  103.55      
Hayes, Eric             5.12    10.39   12.91   0.49    124.27  15.28   2.94    -61.59  64.54       
Choi, Jin Soo           0.66    0.89    1.00    0.73    111.68  6.38    31.70   39.34   -7.64       
Mosley, Sean            6.84    13.57   14.35   0.50    105.75  18.34   -50.00  -346.33 296.33      
Williams, Jordan        3.03    9.82    5.77    0.31    58.77   17.85   -27.19  -48.29  21.10       
Vasquez, Greivis        12.23   21.80   28.36   0.56    130.11  31.59   28.02   -27.25  55.27       
Bowie, Adrian           2.16    6.70    4.26    0.32    63.47   27.93   -3.70   11.44   -15.14      
Padgett, James          0.24    0.24    0.57    1.00    237.61  1.19    23.45   5.17    18.28       

Indiana                 ScPoss  Poss    PtsProd FlrPct  ORat    Usage   OEff+/- DEff+/- EffMargin+/-
Hulls, Jordan           2.19    4.48    5.91    0.49    131.84  11.79   26.83   41.92   -15.10      
Watford, Christian      6.66    14.22   14.33   0.47    100.76  29.02   4.42    -6.76   11.18       
Creek, Maurice          6.74    12.32   17.40   0.55    141.29  23.69   57.62   61.11   -3.49       
Rivers, Jeremiah        2.89    8.67    5.85    0.33    67.51   21.67   -22.44  30.77   -53.21      
Moore, Daniel           0.72    1.19    1.64    0.60    136.95  10.85   5.61    33.82   -28.20      
Jones III, Verdell      3.75    13.61   8.38    0.28    61.59   23.46   -12.48  16.55   -29.03      
Capobianco, Bobby       0.00    0.00    0.00    NaN     NaN     0.00    -16.07  62.50   -78.57      
Pritchard, Tom          1.06    1.63    2.29    0.65    140.60  3.62    -24.44  27.51   -51.95      
Elston, Derek           3.19    10.40   6.43    0.31    61.83   24.19   5.04    21.36   -16.32      
Dumes, Devan            3.16    8.74    8.90    0.36    101.88  24.96   14.74   13.04   1.70        
Jobe, Tijan             0.00    0.00    0.00    NaN     NaN     0.00    36.22   55.53   -19.32      

Northwestern State vs. Indiana HD Box 11-28-09

Northwestern State vs Indiana
11/28/09 3:36 p.m. at Assembly Hall, Bloomington, Ind.

Northwestern State      Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF PPWS
Mosley, William        22:48  -13   1/40  0- 0  0- 0  1- 2  0/30  4/12  1/47  3/47  3/16  1/20  5/20   5 1.05
Baker, Devon           21:04  -14  14/55  0- 1  3- 4  5- 6  5/46  2/15  1/66  3/65  0/29  2/32  2/26   2 1.78
Brooks, Aramie         20:12  -11   9/37  4-10  0- 0  1- 4 10/30  0/ 9  0/41  0/40  0/20  2/23  4/15   2 0.76
Jones, Damon           18:47  -20   9/28  3- 5  1- 4  0- 0  9/23  0/ 6  1/42  3/41  0/17  0/15  0/22   1 1.00
Pratt, Will            18:22  - 6  10/35  4- 8  0- 0  2- 2  8/29  1/ 8  1/37  3/36  0/19  2/20  3/12   4 1.12
McConathy, Logan       18:15  -10   7/40  0- 0  2- 3  1- 2  3/27  3/11  1/40  2/38  0/18  0/19  0/12   1 1.77
Clark, Charles         17:03  -11   3/30  1- 1  0- 2  1- 3  3/23  1/ 6  0/38  2/38  0/14  0/19  3/18   3 0.68
McConathy, Michael     16:57  - 9   6/26  1- 5  1- 3  1- 2  8/22  2/ 6  0/32  3/35  0/16  1/16  0/17   3 0.67
Davis, Shamir          12:07    0   8/27  2- 3  0- 0  4- 4  3/19  0/ 7  0/26  0/25  0/12  0/13  0/10   1 1.63
Knight, Dominic        10:58  - 8   2/17  0- 3  0- 0  2- 2  3/15  0/ 5  0/24  3/25  0/10  0/10  3/12   4 0.51
Hulbin, James          10:46  - 1   1/19  0- 3  0- 0  1- 2  3/17  1/ 6  2/20  0/21  1/ 9  1/11  2/ 8   1 0.25
Dixon, Cory             3:08  + 5   2/ 6  1- 1  0- 1  0- 0  2/ 4  1/ 1  0/ 6  1/ 7  0/ 1  0/ 2  0/ 4   2 1.00
Conine, John            0:42  + 2   0/ 2  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 2  0/ 1  0/ 0  0/ 1  0/ 0  1/ 1  0/ 0   0   --
TOTALS                 40:00          72 16-40  7-17 19-29    57 15/23  7/83 23/85  4/36 11/40 25/35  29 1.02
                                          .400  .412  .655        .652  .084  .271  .111  .275  .714    

Indiana                 Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF PPWS
Rivers, Jeremiah       35:15  +21   6/83  1- 2  0- 0  4- 6  2/44 10/22  2/73  5/74  0/36  0/28  7/35   1 1.24
Creek, Maurice         25:21  + 6  17/44  2- 5  2- 5  7- 8 10/34  2/ 7  2/53  0/55  0/28  1/27  3/26   1 1.23
Watford, Christian     23:11  +18  17/53  5- 6  0- 1  7- 8  7/31  2/10  2/49  2/48  1/25  0/18  5/28   3 1.57
Dumes, Devan           22:11  + 6  11/53  1- 3  2- 4  3- 4  7/30  1/14  1/45  2/46  0/25  1/16  2/21   2 1.24
Jones III, Verdell     21:32  +22   8/55  1- 6  1- 2  3- 4  8/31  4/13  0/46  4/44  1/21  1/19  3/26   3 0.81
Elston, Derek          17:45  + 9  12/45  4- 5  1- 2  1- 1  7/23  0/ 7  4/36  1/38  0/16  2/17  3/11   1 1.61
Pritchard, Tom         12:41  + 9   5/31  1- 2  0- 0  3- 4  2/15  0/ 7  0/22  0/21  1/14  2/ 9  1/12   5 1.28
Jobe, Tijan            11:45    0   4/22  2- 2  0- 0  0- 0  2/14  0/ 5  0/26  2/27  2/13  0/ 8  0/12   4 2.00
Capobianco, Bobby      10:50  + 5   1/23  0- 3  0- 0  1- 2  3/17  0/ 6  1/25  2/26  0/ 8  0/14  0/10   1 0.25
Hulls, Jordan           6:56    0   2/11  1- 1  0- 2  0- 0  3/ 9  0/ 2  0/15  0/16  0/ 4  0/ 9  0/ 4   0 0.67
Moore, Daniel           6:15  + 5   6/20  1- 1  0- 0  4- 4  1/ 7  0/ 4  1/12  0/11  0/ 4  0/ 4  0/ 5   1 2.07
Muniru, Bawa            1:52  - 5   1/ 1  0- 0  0- 0  1- 2  0/ 2  0/ 0  0/ 4  0/ 3  0/ 3  0/ 3  0/ 4   1 1.05
Barnett, Kory           1:28  - 2   0/ 3  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 1  0/ 1  0/ 3  0/ 2  0/ 1  0/ 1  0/ 2   0   --
Finkelmeier, Brett      1:28  - 2   0/ 3  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 1  0/ 1  0/ 3  0/ 2  0/ 1  0/ 1  0/ 2   0   --
Gambles, Steven         1:28  - 2   0/ 3  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 1  0/ 1  0/ 3  0/ 2  0/ 1  0/ 1  1/ 2   0   --
TOTALS                 40:00          90 19-36  6-16 34-43    52 19/25 13/85 18/83  5/40 10/35 29/40  23 1.24
                                          .528  .375  .791        .760  .153  .217  .125  .286  .725    

Efficiency: Northwestern State 0.847, Indiana 1.084
eFG%: Northwestern State 46.5, Indiana 53.8
Substitutions: Northwestern State 46, Indiana 48

2-pt shot selection
Dunks: Northwestern State 1-1, Indiana 2-2
Layups/Tips: Northwestern State 8-20, Indiana 13-22
Jumpers: Northwestern State 7-19, Indiana 4-12

The HD Box Score is something created by Ken Pomeroy, which I've tried to duplicate for my own purposes. kenpom explains the data here. The only thing different here is the Points Per Weighted Shot (PPWS) column, which John Gasaway (the erstwhile Big Ten Wonk) told me about here.

Northwestern State      ScPoss  Poss    PtsProd FlrPct  ORat    Usage   OEff+/- DEff+/- EffMargin+/-
Davis, Shamir           3.08    3.79    6.82    0.81    180.27  15.14   33.00   19.64   13.36       
Knight, Dominic         0.88    6.00    2.00    0.15    33.28   24.00   -23.67  19.42   -43.09      
Brooks, Aramie          4.28    9.58    8.49    0.45    88.63   23.95   14.72   52.79   -38.07      
Conine, John            0.23    0.23    0.47    1.00    204.91  22.95   116.67  NaN     NaN         
McConathy, Logan        2.46    5.40    6.31    0.46    116.73  14.22   37.18   66.86   -29.68      
Baker, Devon            5.36    9.85    13.10   0.54    133.05  15.15   -0.38   69.25   -69.64      
McConathy, Michael      2.98    10.46   6.99    0.29    66.86   29.87   -17.71  30.94   -48.66      
Pratt, Will             4.40    10.22   9.60    0.43    93.94   28.40   21.71   36.90   -15.19      
Jones, Damon            2.89    9.42    6.99    0.31    74.24   22.97   -31.71  48.43   -80.14      
Hulbin, James           1.12    3.47    2.03    0.32    58.53   16.54   7.66    12.70   -5.03       
Clark, Charles          1.77    5.82    3.30    0.30    56.81   15.31   -10.41  32.34   -42.75      
Dixon, Cory             0.84    2.54    1.87    0.33    73.64   36.31   1.10    -79.44  80.54       
Mosley, William         1.75    4.99    3.61    0.35    72.27   10.62   0.90    51.65   -50.76      

Indiana                 ScPoss  Poss    PtsProd FlrPct  ORat    Usage   OEff+/- DEff+/- EffMargin+/-
Barnett, Kory           0.00    0.00    0.00    NaN     NaN     0.00    42.59   66.67   -24.07      
Hulls, Jordan           0.78    2.17    1.68    0.36    77.69   13.54   -49.16  -35.24  -13.92      
Watford, Christian      6.98    10.43   14.79   0.67    141.80  21.73   4.70    -73.02  77.72       
Creek, Maurice          7.20    11.43   16.74   0.63    146.47  20.78   -84.29  -81.43  -2.86       
Finkelmeier, Brett      0.00    0.00    0.00    NaN     NaN     0.00    42.59   66.67   -24.07      
Rivers, Jeremiah        5.64    11.65   11.82   0.48    101.46  15.75   34.38   -123.40 157.79      
Moore, Daniel           2.18    2.18    4.93    1.00    225.64  19.86   84.60   26.37   58.23       
Jones III, Verdell      4.68    12.96   10.64   0.36    82.10   29.46   35.26   -66.72  101.98      
Muniru, Bawa            0.66    0.89    1.00    0.73    111.58  29.81   -77.92  50.00   -127.92     
Capobianco, Bobby       0.66    4.98    1.00    0.13    20.05   19.14   -29.08  -43.00  13.92       
Gambles, Steven         0.00    0.00    0.00    NaN     NaN     0.00    42.59   66.67   -24.07      
Pritchard, Tom          3.05    3.87    5.95    0.79    153.89  18.42   52.46   -3.17   55.63       
Elston, Derek           3.70    6.09    8.52    0.61    139.87  16.02   18.42   -4.08   22.50       
Dumes, Devan            4.30    9.20    10.24   0.47    111.32  19.99   15.22   4.44    10.77       
Jobe, Tijan             0.96    2.96    2.07    0.32    70.06   10.95   -39.95  -25.55  -14.39      

George Mason vs. Indiana HD Box 11-22-09

George Mason            Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF PPWS
Cornelius, Andre       32:47  + 6   9/57  3- 6  0- 3  3- 4  9/45  1/18  1/52  2/55  0/40  0/30  2/33   4 0.83
Morrison, Mike         32:30  + 8  17/59  7-11  0- 0  3- 4 11/47  0/14  0/54  2/57  7/37  4/31  9/34   1 1.32
Hancock, Luke          31:41  + 2   9/53  1- 3  1- 3  4- 6  6/44  8/17  1/56  3/55  0/38  3/33  5/34   2 1.02
Long, Cam              30:26  + 4  18/56  6-12  1- 3  3- 5 15/40  3/12  3/51  2/53  1/37  1/27  4/34   3 1.04
Pearson, Ryan          22:32  - 1   2/40  1- 1  0- 0  0- 0  1/30  1/14  0/39  1/40  0/23  1/18  2/22   5 2.00
Foster, Kevin          19:07  + 1   8/29  4- 7  0- 1  0- 1  8/27  0/ 6  0/33  1/32  0/28  1/22  0/24   3 0.94
Birdsong, Louis        14:05  + 2   3/28  0- 0  1- 2  0- 0  2/21  0/11  1/23  3/24  0/20  0/10  0/16   2 1.50
Wright, Sherrod         9:26  - 7   1/12  0- 1  0- 1  1- 3  2/ 9  0/ 4  1/19  0/17  0/14  0/ 8  0/13   1 0.29
Tate, Isaiah            3:42  + 2   0/ 6  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 9  0/ 3  1/ 7  0/ 7  0/ 3  0/ 7  0/ 1   0   --
Williams, Johnny        3:33  - 2   1/ 4  0- 1  0- 0  1- 2  1/ 3  0/ 1  0/ 5  2/ 5  0/ 5  2/ 4  2/ 3   1 0.51
Whack, Rashad           0:04    0   1/ 1  0- 0  0- 0  1- 2  0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 1  0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  1/ 1   1 1.05
TOTALS                 40:00          69 22-42  3-13 16-27    55 13/25  8/69 16/72  8/49 13/38 25/43  23 1.02
                                          .524  .231  .593        .520  .116  .222  .163  .342  .581    

Indiana                 Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF PPWS
Jones III, Verdell     33:00  + 2  13/56  2- 8  1- 2  6- 6 10/46  4/14  3/57  3/54  0/35  0/32  3/32   1 1.01
Watford, Christian     31:26  - 4  10/56  3-13  0- 0  4- 4 13/45  0/14  2/54  2/52  0/36  2/31  6/28   3 0.67
Rivers, Jeremiah       27:33  - 7   9/41  2- 8  0- 0  5- 8  8/37  1/ 9  0/46  4/46  1/32  1/31  6/27   4 0.76
Creek, Maurice         27:19    0  15/47  4- 6  2- 4  1- 4 10/39  2/ 7  2/46  1/46  0/26  3/32  1/22   1 1.26
Capobianco, Bobby      17:00  + 2   7/27  3- 5  0- 0  1- 2  5/23  1/ 5  1/28  0/28  0/16  5/18  5/16   3 1.18
Pritchard, Tom         14:37  - 2   0/28  0- 2  0- 0  0- 0  2/22  1/ 8  0/25  1/25  0/16  1/16  0/10   3 0.00
Hulls, Jordan          13:45  + 4   8/28  0- 1  2- 2  2- 2  3/26  1/ 7  1/26  0/28  0/10  1/21  1/13   4 2.03
Elston, Derek           8:33    0   2/10  0- 3  0- 0  2- 2  3/12  0/ 3  0/15  1/16  0/ 6  2/12  2/10   0 0.51
Moore, Daniel           8:26  - 3   0/15  0- 1  0- 0  0- 0  1/12  1/ 5  0/14  1/14  0/ 9  0/ 8  1/ 7   0 0.00
Dumes, Devan            7:08  - 4   0/ 8  0- 1  0- 0  0- 0  1/ 5  0/ 3  0/13  2/12  0/12  0/ 2  0/11   0 0.00
Jobe, Tijan             5:15  - 1   2/ 8  1- 1  0- 0  0- 0  1/ 8  0/ 2  0/12  0/10  0/ 8  0/ 5  0/ 8   3 2.00
Muniru, Bawa            3:02  - 2   0/ 2  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 4  0/ 1  0/ 4  0/ 4  0/ 2  0/ 3  0/ 4   1   --
TOTALS                 40:00          66 15-49  5- 8 21-28    57 11/20  9/72 15/69  1/42 18/43 25/38  23 0.94
                                          .306  .625  .750        .550  .125  .217  .024  .419  .658    

Efficiency: George Mason 0.958, Indiana 0.957
eFG%: George Mason 48.2, Indiana 39.5
Substitutions: George Mason 25, Indiana 45

2-pt shot selection
Dunks: George Mason 8-8, Indiana 1-1
Layups/Tips: George Mason 10-18, Indiana 8-31
Jumpers: George Mason 4-16, Indiana 6-17

The HD Box Score is something created by Ken Pomeroy, which I've tried to duplicate for my own purposes. kenpom explains the data here. The only thing different here is the Points Per Weighted Shot (PPWS) column, which John Gasaway (the erstwhile Big Ten Wonk) told me about here.

George Mason            ScPoss  Poss    PtsProd FlrPct  ORat    Usage   OEff+/- DEff+/- EffMargin+/-
Foster, Kevin           3.24    7.25    7.04    0.45    97.12   22.65   -9.38   -6.82   -2.56       
Tate, Isaiah            0.00    0.00    0.00    NaN     NaN     0.00    -11.21  -34.79  23.58       
Hancock, Luke           6.53    12.39   14.19   0.53    114.53  22.52   2.25    14.15   -11.90      
Wright, Sherrod         0.72    2.62    1.00    0.27    38.07   15.42   -33.05  16.00   -49.05      
Long, Cam               8.19    15.64   17.86   0.52    114.19  29.51   37.24   51.96   -14.72      
Morrison, Mike          7.69    12.35   16.06   0.62    130.10  21.66   36.84   27.78   9.06        
Whack, Rashad           0.65    0.89    1.00    0.73    112.72  InfinityInfinity11.76   Infinity    
Pearson, Ryan           1.12    2.12    2.43    0.53    114.39  5.31    9.38    38.46   -29.09      
Williams, Johnny        1.15    4.02    1.97    0.29    48.89   80.39   -17.01  34.06   -51.08      
Birdsong, Louis         0.71    4.34    2.33    0.16    53.65   18.09   31.25   36.96   -5.71       
Cornelius, Andre        4.32    10.24   8.96    0.42    87.47   18.63   33.05   39.25   -6.21       

Indiana                 ScPoss  Poss    PtsProd FlrPct  ORat    Usage   OEff+/- DEff+/- EffMargin+/-
Hulls, Jordan           2.40    2.95    6.74    0.81    228.15  10.55   7.32    -16.39  23.71       
Watford, Christian      4.57    12.09   10.25   0.38    84.72   23.26   48.87   33.33   15.54       
Creek, Maurice          5.71    9.99    13.46   0.57    134.78  21.71   19.57   -1.67   21.24       
Rivers, Jeremiah        4.98    12.83   9.51    0.39    74.15   27.89   -19.57  4.35    -23.91      
Moore, Daniel           0.18    1.73    0.45    0.10    26.02   12.38   14.42   32.02   -17.60      
Jones III, Verdell      5.79    12.66   14.21   0.46    112.27  23.44   37.04   -38.60  75.63       
Muniru, Bawa            0.00    0.00    0.00    NaN     NaN     0.00    -48.46  -2.94   -45.52      
Capobianco, Bobby       3.79    5.13    7.85    0.74    152.99  18.32   1.31    -22.08  23.38       
Pritchard, Tom          0.36    2.46    0.82    0.15    33.09   9.86    25.64   26.38   -0.75       
Elston, Derek           1.21    3.86    2.71    0.31    70.08   24.15   -43.16  -45.61  2.45        
Dumes, Devan            0.00    2.55    0.00    0.00    0.00    21.27   -35.09  -12.78  -22.31      
Jobe, Tijan             0.54    0.54    1.19    1.00    221.03  5.38    -18.31  -33.33  15.03       

Boston U vs. Indiana HD Box 11-20-09

This is another one that had at least one discrepancy. Mainly, Carlos Strong of BU was awarded a steal about two minutes after the play by play has him checking out of the game. So that’s not reflected in the HD Box. So he gets one less steal here than in the official box score.

Boston University       Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF PPWS
Morris, Tyler          38:00  + 2  13/69  0- 4  3- 3  4- 4  7/56  5/14  1/70  1/71  0/42  0/44  5/36   1 1.46
O'Brien, Jake          37:00  + 4  14/65  4- 9  0- 2  6- 8 11/57  1/12  1/70  2/68  0/42  6/45  7/36   2 0.95
Lowe, Corey            30:21  - 4   8/53  1- 6  1- 7  3- 5 13/46  3/11  1/56  6/57  1/36  2/37  6/27   3 0.52
Strong, Carlos         24:30  +13   7/46  0- 4  1- 3  4- 6  7/35  2/ 9  2/43  0/43  1/25  1/29  1/25   3 0.71
Holland, John          18:42  + 8  21/59  2- 7  3- 6  8- 9 13/41  1/ 8  0/54  2/53  0/34  1/33  4/29   4 1.22
Pelage, Jeff           18:25  - 5   0/28  0- 2  0- 0  0- 2  2/25  0/ 7  0/37  4/34  1/20  3/19  6/19   4 0.00
Bailey, B.J.            5:13  - 4   3/19  1- 2  0- 1  1- 2  3/20  0/ 6  0/23  0/23  0/15  0/13  2/10   1 0.76
Sirutis, Valdas         4:55  + 6   4/19  1- 1  0- 0  2- 2  1/12  0/ 4  0/15  0/16  0/ 7  1/ 8  0/ 6   3 2.05
Smith, Sherrod          4:50  + 2   1/ 9  0- 1  0- 0  1- 2  1/ 7  0/ 2  0/11  0/ 9  0/ 5  0/ 6  1/ 5   0 0.51
TOTALS                 40:00          71  9-36  8-22 29-40    58 12/17  6/77 16/74  3/44 19/46 33/38  21 0.92
                                          .250  .364  .725        .706  .078  .216  .068  .413  .868    

Indiana                 Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF PPWS
Rivers, Jeremiah       33:44  - 1  13/58  4-12  0- 1  5- 6 13/49  4/17  0/64  3/65  2/32  1/33  5/41   3 0.82
Creek, Maurice         31:29  - 4  17/52  2- 6  4- 8  1- 1 14/47  1/13  3/57  2/59  1/30  1/29  5/33   0 1.17
Jones III, Verdell     28:52  - 1  14/49  5- 9  0- 1  4- 8 10/38  6/12  1/53  1/53  0/29  0/26  5/38   3 1.01
Watford, Christian     28:22    0   9/50  3- 8  0- 0  3- 3  8/39  0/13  0/54  1/52  0/25  1/27  4/32   1 0.95
Pritchard, Tom         17:45    0   4/28  2- 3  0- 0  0- 1  3/18  0/ 8  1/31  1/32  3/20  0/12  3/24   4 1.15
Elston, Derek          14:07  - 8   6/22  3- 3  0- 0  0- 1  3/21  0/ 6  1/25  1/27  0/14  0/13  1/16   4 1.73
Hulls, Jordan          13:46  + 3   0/25  0- 1  0- 2  0- 0  3/19  1/ 8  1/25  1/24  0/ 9  0/14  1/17   4 0.00
Dumes, Devan           13:01  - 9   4/19  0- 2  1- 1  1- 2  3/21  2/ 7  1/23  1/24  0/ 8  1/14  0/10   2 1.01
Jobe, Tijan            11:20  + 3   0/16  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/20  0/ 5  0/21  0/21  0/10  0/16  1/11   2   --
Capobianco, Bobby       7:30  - 3   0/16  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/13  0/ 7  0/12  1/13  0/ 3  1/ 6  1/ 8   4   --
Finkelmeier, Brett      0:01    0   0/ 0  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0   0   --
TOTALS                 40:00          67 19-44  5-13 14-22    57 14/24  8/74 12/77  6/36  5/38 27/46  27 0.99
                                          .432  .385  .636        .583  .108  .156  .167  .132  .587    

Efficiency: Boston University 0.959, Indiana 0.870
eFG%: Boston University 36.2, Indiana 46.5
Substitutions: Boston University 45, Indiana 40

2-pt shot selection
Dunks: Boston University 1-1, Indiana 3-3
Layups/Tips: Boston University 5-14, Indiana 7-15
Jumpers: Boston University 3-21, Indiana 9-26

The HD Box Score is something created by Ken Pomeroy, which I've tried to duplicate for my own purposes. kenpom explains the data here. The only thing different here is the Points Per Weighted Shot (PPWS) column, which John Gasaway (the erstwhile Big Ten Wonk) told me about here.

Boston University       ScPoss  Poss    PtsProd FlrPct  ORat    Usage   OEff+/- DEff+/- EffMargin+/-
Bailey, B.J.            1.42    2.78    2.71    0.51    97.60   12.08   -19.35  -9.26   -10.09      
Lowe, Corey             4.41    16.92   9.88    0.26    58.40   29.69   -12.90  -17.26  4.36        
Sirutis, Valdas         1.51    1.51    3.41    1.00    225.07  9.46    29.09   -24.62  53.72       
O'Brien, Jake           7.54    13.69   15.44   0.55    112.82  20.13   -4.41   -212.86 208.45      
Strong, Carlos          3.65    7.32    8.03    0.50    109.83  17.01   26.33   -67.37  93.71       
Holland, John           7.69    14.21   18.88   0.54    132.85  26.81   54.18   -40.34  94.52       
Morris, Tyler           4.75    7.98    13.47   0.60    168.77  11.24   30.52   -118.57 149.09      
Pelage, Jeff            0.51    6.58    1.05    0.08    15.91   19.34   -25.15  -33.31  8.16        
Smith, Sherrod          0.65    1.44    1.00    0.45    69.23   16.02   4.62    -50.00  54.62       

Indiana                 ScPoss  Poss    PtsProd FlrPct  ORat    Usage   OEff+/- DEff+/- EffMargin+/-
Hulls, Jordan           0.23    3.81    0.54    0.06    14.20   15.88   24.92   18.61   6.31        
Watford, Christian      4.18    9.47    8.92    0.44    94.15   18.21   28.15   62.59   -34.44      
Creek, Maurice          5.59    14.46   15.03   0.39    103.93  24.51   4.80    98.25   -93.44      
Finkelmeier, Brett      0.00    0.00    0.00    NaN     NaN     NaN     NaN     NaN     NaN         
Rivers, Jeremiah        7.43    18.24   15.34   0.41    84.10   28.07   14.23   122.19  -107.96     
Jones III, Verdell      8.12    14.37   15.78   0.57    109.80  27.11   17.45   65.77   -48.32      
Capobianco, Bobby       0.34    1.34    0.70    0.26    51.78   10.33   43.39   98.66   -55.27      
Pritchard, Tom          1.45    3.79    3.06    0.38    80.79   11.83   0.83    25.21   -24.37      
Elston, Derek           1.68    3.15    3.53    0.53    112.04  11.67   -8.52   66.94   -75.46      
Dumes, Devan            2.25    5.21    5.21    0.43    100.10  21.71   -11.40  66.84   -78.24      
Jobe, Tijan             0.00    0.00    0.00    NaN     NaN     0.00    -14.88  -19.23  4.35        

I Was Wrong

So I predicted yesterday that the game between the Hoosiers and Rebels would be all about turnovers. It wasn’t. Predictably, the Hoosiers turned it over a lot. But that didn’t matter because they turned it over only one more time than Ole Miss did. The problem with turnovers is that they prevent you from taking shots. As it turned out, both teams took the exact same number of shots in the game. Mississippi just connected on more of them, probably because they were repeatedly able to knife down the lane for a layup or a dump-off for a dunk or layup by someone else (typically Murphy Holloway, who hit 12 of his 18 2 point shots) or an occasional wide-open 3. The Hoosiers had some, but less, of that, and their heretofore white hot shooting beyond the arc deserted them. Ken Pomeroy has pointed out that eFG% is far and away the most important of the four factors, and that (not TO% as I predicted) was certainly the case in this game.

Some other random thoughts:

• IU’s spunk and fight was good. They made two solid pushes in the second half and never stopped fighting. That’s nice to see.
• Jordan Hulls looked completely overmatched against the aggressive and quick Mississippi perimeter defenders. That was probably just some shock at the drastically improved quality of the competition.
• Neither team seemed particularly interested in defensive rebounds. IU grabbed 45% of their own missed shots, outdone only by the Rebels getting to 47% of theirs.
• Jeremiah Rivers is better for the team, but he needs to settle down a little. Twice in the half court, he probed the middle of the D with the dribble, then stopped, pivoted and fired a pass to the wing … where it bounced straight out of bounds. Later in the game, I heard Tom Crean holler to Jordan Hulls, “Jordan, see the open man!” after a turnover thrown to someone on the IU bench. That might be good advice for everyone handling the ball.
• Speaking of handling, Verdell’s behind-the-back dribbling in traffic needs to stop. That move twice turned the ball over in the first half, once when it bounced off his back heel.
• Regarding the importance of eFG%, 2 point jumpers are the most inefficient shots a player can take on the floor. This isn’t some conjecture of mine. It’s a fact. The Hoosiers took 24 of those shots out of 68 total shots from the floor, their highest percentage of this young season. Obviously, the defense plays a role in what shots the offense can take, but it would be nice to take fewer of those.

Indiana vs. Mississippi HD Box 11-19-09

There are sure to be some discrepancies between this data and the conventional box score, as there were a handful of issues with the play by play. At one point, Christian Watford was credited with an assist on a Jeremiah Rivers made jumper, even though Watford was, technically speaking, on the bench at the time. So I changed that to Verdell Jones. Realistically, it was an unassisted shot off the dribble, but perhaps the scorekeeper was shocked into confusion by seeing Rivers actually hit a jumper. There were a few other oddities, too.

Indiana                 Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF PPWS
Jones III, Verdell     33:52  - 4  17/67  8-15  0- 0  1- 4 15/58  2/18  2/66  2/63  0/45  2/43  1/29   1 1.01
Pritchard, Tom         30:00  - 7   8/57  3- 5  0- 0  2- 5  5/47  1/19  0/58  1/56  0/37  4/34  4/26   3 1.08
Rivers, Jeremiah       27:47  - 9  14/58  6- 6  0- 0  2- 6  6/50  5/17  2/55  4/54  0/38  2/39  5/22   4 1.58
Creek, Maurice         26:03  - 9  18/47  5- 8  2- 7  2- 3 15/52  3/13  2/55  4/54  0/37  1/40  2/29   3 1.10
Watford, Christian     22:45  -21   5/38  2- 8  0- 2  1- 3 10/39  0/14  0/42  3/45  1/32  4/30  1/17   4 0.44
Elston, Derek          16:29  - 1   3/31  1- 6  0- 0  1- 2  6/28  1/11  1/34  1/30  0/19  3/22  2/17   2 0.43
Dumes, Devan           14:52  -19   5/24  0- 2  1- 4  2- 2  6/26  0/ 9  2/31  0/31  1/19  0/21  1/12   1 0.72
Hulls, Jordan          12:35  -11   1/13  0- 1  0- 2  1- 2  3/18  1/ 5  1/26  3/24  0/16  0/14  2/15   0 0.25
Capobianco, Bobby       8:18  - 5   0/ 8  0- 2  0- 0  0- 0  2/10  0/ 2  0/10  0/12  0/ 6  1/12  0/ 4   1 0.00
Jobe, Tijan             6:00  + 3   0/ 9  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 7  0/ 3  0/13  1/10  0/ 6  0/ 5  1/ 7   1   --
Moore, Daniel           3:01  - 7   0/ 3  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 5  0/ 1  0/ 5  0/ 6  0/ 5  1/ 5  0/ 2   0   --
TOTALS                 40:00          71 25-53  3-15 12-27    68 13/28 10/84 20/81  2/52 24/53 19/36  20 0.88
                                          .472  .200  .444        .464  .119  .247  .038  .453  .528    

Mississippi             Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF PPWS
White, Terrico         33:13  +23   9/77  3- 8  1- 3  0- 3 11/60  1/28  1/63  2/65  1/45  2/31  1/45   3 0.72
Warren, Chris          30:41  + 1  16/64  3- 6  3- 7  1- 3 13/49  3/20  0/56  2/58  0/43  0/25  2/41   3 1.11
Holloway, Murphy       26:57  +14  26/63 12-18  0- 0  2- 3 18/45  0/13  0/47  1/49  0/33  5/22  2/29   2 1.34
Polynice, Eniel        26:10  +17  10/66  4- 6  0- 1  2- 2  7/44  7/23  1/48  2/49  2/37  0/19  2/38   3 1.26
Graham, Zach           23:41  + 8  10/46  3- 5  0- 2  4- 5  7/39  2/14  1/48  2/48  2/28  2/23  5/29   2 1.07
Buckner, Reginald      23:27  + 5   5/47  2- 5  0- 0  1- 2  5/38  1/16  1/47  5/50  3/34  3/22  9/37   2 0.84
Gaskins, Trevor        13:20  + 6   8/27  1- 2  1- 3  3- 3  5/23  0/ 7  3/29  2/29  0/13  1/15  1/14   4 1.25
Cranston, DeAundre     10:28    0   3/23  1- 1  0- 0  1- 1  1/20  0/ 8  1/20  1/20  1/16  1/12  1/13   4 2.03
Riley, DeAngelo         6:49  +12   0/19  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/14  0/ 7  0/15  1/15  0/ 8  0/ 8  2/ 8   1   --
Henry, Terrance         5:05  + 4   2/13  1- 1  0- 0  0- 0  1/ 8  0/ 4  0/12  1/12  3/ 8  2/ 3  3/11   0 2.00
TOTALS                 40:00          89 30-52  5-16 14-22    68 14/35  8/81 19/84 12/53 17/36 29/53  24 1.13
                                          .577  .313  .636        .400  .099  .226  .226  .472  .547    

Efficiency: Indiana 0.877, Mississippi 1.060
eFG%: Indiana 43.4, Mississippi 55.1
Substitutions: Indiana 43, Mississippi 36

2-pt shot selection
Dunks: Indiana 2-2, Mississippi 2-2
Layups/Tips: Indiana 18-27, Mississippi 22-35
Jumpers: Indiana 5-24, Mississippi 6-15

The HD Box Score is something created by Ken Pomeroy, which I've tried to duplicate for my own purposes. kenpom explains the data here. The only thing different here is the Points Per Weighted Shot (PPWS) column, which John Gasaway (the erstwhile Big Ten Wonk) told me about here.