Showing posts with label Purdue. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Purdue. Show all posts

Friday, February 29, 2008

Down the Stretch They Come...

With their win last night over Michigan State, Wisconsin pretty much assured themselves of at least a share of the Big Ten title.  Oh sure, they could lose one of their two remaining games, but I give that a zero percent chance of happening.  For PTI fans, that's the big squadoosh.  They host terrible Penn State (5-10 conference, 13-14 overall) and then close out on the road against even more terrible Northwestern (1-14 conference, 8-18 overall).

It's a tougher road for Purdue.  They host Northwestern, then travel to Ohio State (8-7 conference, 17-11 overall) and Michigan (5-11 conference, 9-19 overall).  They should win out, but the road game at Ohio State looms as their potential stumbling point.

Indiana has the toughest remaining schedule.  They must travel to Michigan State (10-5 conference, 22-6 overall), host Minnesota (7-8 conference, 17-10 overall), and travel to Penn State.  Clearly the Michigan State game is the test.  The Spartans have lost 4 of their last 7 games... all losses coming on the road.  The only terrible loss was to Penn State.  The others were Purdue, Indiana, and Wisconsin... the top of the Big Ten.  They've not lost a conference game at the Breslin Center this season.

Here are the Big Ten Standings:

Big Ten Conference Overall
School W-L PF PA W-L PF PA STRK
Wisconsin 14-2 1037 887 24-4 1903 1536 W5
Indiana 13-2 1076 971 24-4 2139 1785 W4
Purdue 13-2 1017 916 22-6 1915 1703 W1
Michigan State 10-5 984 913 22-6 2007 1733 L1
Ohio State 8-7 974 896 17-11 1887 1692 L3
Minnesota 7-8 1002 1012 17-10 1916 1725 L1
Penn State 5-10 922 1052 13-14 1778 1801 W1
Iowa 5-11 883 963 12-17 1633 1682 L2
Michigan 5-11 991 1066 9-19 1798 1925 L1
Illinois 3-12 940 955 11-17 1811 1734 L3
Northwestern 1-14 887 1082 8-18 1645 1783 W1

Wednesday, February 20, 2008

Hoosiers Turn It Over Lots, But Also Turn Over Boilermakers

A big win by the Hoosiers last night makes the Big Ten a three pony race.  IU, Purdue, and Wisconsin all stand with two losses (although Purdue has 12 wins, while IU and Wisconsin have 11).

It certainly wasn't the prettiest game I've seen (no good, bad, and ugly theme this post-game recap, as it was mostly ugly.)  IU turned the ball over 22 times according to our HD Box Score, or 23 times according to the Indianapolis Star's Box Score.  (They have D.J. White down for a third turnover.)  I have them with 24 turnovers, as they surely  threw it away once more while going down the tunnel after the game.  It was as sloppy as I've seen them handle the ball in quite some time.  That being said, it's par for Purdue to force teams into so many turnovers.  As Abs pointed out to me, Purdue ranks #11 at forcing turnovers.  The numbers sometimes do tell the story.

What the Hoosiers lacked in safeguarding the ball, they made up for in rebounding.  They were solid on the glass (except for a stretch in the second half where they allowed Purdue to make a comeback).  IU sported a +16 rebounding margin, which offset their strong desire to give a cold shooting team a chance by giving them extra possessions.  Purdue was not as sharp from the floor, shooting only 24% from behind the arc (they average 36%) and a dreadful 52% from the free-throw line (they average 71%).  Of course, the numbers tell the story for the FT%, because as we've pointed out before (here and here), the Hoosier's bring out the worst in other teams at the free-throw line.  In fact, they continue to sport the 3rd best FT defense in the nation... 62%.  Abs and I laugh about this being the X-factor.

D.J. White starting was a surprise to me, but not so much as the 36 minutes he played.  Early reports indicated he'd miss a few weeks, and he clearly wasn't 100% but he was still very sharp.  The Hoosiers went to him early and established his presence in the low post.  They came away empty, but it set a tone and Purdue usually looked to double-team him.  His 19 points were a great contribution, but I believe his 15 rebounds were even more valuable.  Either way, a double-double from a player expected to be out for a knee injury is a well-received contribution.  Purdue didn't have the big bodies to match, and so it changed the focus of the game to have him play.  I have doubts as to the outcome of this game if he didn't.  I'm not suggesting the Hoosiers lose, but it's a much different game without him.

Our readers (both of them) know about our affinity for Kyle Taber and he was brilliant last night.  3/3 shooting for 6 points, 5 boards, 2 assists, and 1 steal in 21 minutes.  That's a good line, but what doesn't show up in the stat line is the constant screening that he did, particularly at the elbow and higher.  The Hooseirs are not a pick and roll team, but the high screen is essential for allowing Gordon and Bassett the ability to gain a step and drive to the hole.  Repeatedly we saw Gordon step through double-teams, and the seam was created by the screen.

Armon Bassett's play was also sparkling.  He shot a perfect 4 of 4 from beyond the arc, and was extremely effective in drive and dish attacks.  His +22 +/- rating and this lofty 2.17 Points Per Weighted Shot tell the story.  He was on the bench during the second half run where Purdue closed the gap to 2 points.  I had been yelling at the TV for Sampson to put him back in.  Once he got back in, Indiana built their lead back up to stay.

Eric Gordon had a tough night shooting, but showed that he knows how to use his quickness to drive and draw fouls.  He has a toughness that goes under-appreciated.

Brent Musburger is terrible.   How is he gainfully employed by ESPN?  I kept yelling at him to talk about THIS game, talk about THESE players.  When there weren't long pauses (presumably where Steve Lavin was poking him to wake him up)  there were inane pontifications about how much a hot dog and a soda cost at Mackey Arena, or how Midwestern barber shops are the best places to get your hair cut and learn what folks are talking about.Brent Musberger

Lavin has a sharp coaching perspective and if set up, can deliver some gems that you might not see.  But he was never set up.  It must make him want to return to coaching more than anything.

Purdue vs. Indiana HD Box Score 2-19-08

Purdue vs Indiana
2/19/08 7:02 p.m. at Assembly Hall, Bloomington, Ind.

Purdue Min +/- Pts 2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A FGA A Stl TO Blk OR DR PF PPWS
Kramer, Chris 34:47 -10 8/59 3- 6 0- 2 2- 4 8/63 5/55 3/64 1/63 0/25 0/44 7/22 5 0.81
Hummel, Robbie 33:57 - 7 17/59 4- 6 3- 6 0- 0 12/61 0/49 4/61 2/61 2/25 2/44 4/21 2 1.42
Moore, E'Twaun 33:37 -12 11/57 2- 8 1- 7 4- 5 15/58 1/43 0/62 0/62 0/28 1/41 1/20 3 0.63
Grant, Keaton 27:56 - 1 10/46 2- 7 2- 6 0- 0 13/53 1/40 1/50 0/49 0/22 2/40 0/20 4 0.77
Martin, Scott 22:07 - 2 12/46 4- 8 1- 5 1- 6 13/42 1/29 2/42 0/43 0/12 2/29 1/13 4 0.76
Green, Marcus 16:52 + 7 1/37 0- 1 0- 1 1- 2 2/31 2/29 2/29 1/30 0/13 2/20 0/ 9 4 0.34
Calasan, Nemanja 14:28 - 7 3/18 1- 4 0- 2 1- 2 6/21 0/15 1/26 1/24 0/15 2/15 1/10 0 0.43
Johnson, JaJuan 10:26 - 3 6/15 2- 2 0- 0 2- 2 2/22 0/20 1/18 0/20 0/ 9 2/15 0/ 7 4 2.03
Crump, Tarrance 5:14 -11 0/ 0 0- 1 0- 0 0- 0 1/ 8 0/ 7 0/12 0/12 0/ 6 0/ 7 1/ 3 0 0.00
Riddell, Bobby 0:34 + 1 0/ 3 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0/ 1 0/ 1 0/ 1 0/ 1 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 0 --
TOTALS 40:00 68 18-43 7-29 11-21 72 10/25 14/74 5/75 2/31 14/51 16/25 26 0.83
.419 .241 .524 .400 .189 .067 .065 .275 .640

Indiana Min +/- Pts 2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A FGA A Stl TO Blk OR DR PF PPWS
Gordon, Eric 38:07 + 7 22/73 3- 9 1- 3 13-15 12/39 3/27 1/70 5/69 1/42 0/24 4/49 1 1.15
White, D.J. 36:00 + 4 19/65 6-11 0- 0 7- 8 11/36 2/25 1/65 3/66 1/40 6/22 9/44 5 1.28
Bassett, Armon 29:33 +22 16/61 0- 1 4- 4 4- 5 5/33 4/28 1/49 5/50 0/26 0/18 8/34 0 2.17
Ellis, Jamarcus 26:42 + 2 7/45 1- 4 1- 2 2- 2 6/28 0/22 0/49 6/51 1/29 0/19 5/34 4 1.01
Crawford, Jordan 22:59 - 1 4/46 0- 2 0- 1 4- 4 3/25 1/22 0/46 3/45 0/28 1/14 2/34 1 0.82
Taber, Kyle 21:03 + 2 6/40 3- 3 0- 0 0- 0 3/24 2/21 1/38 0/38 0/22 1/12 4/26 3 2.00
Stemler, Lance 18:45 + 4 3/39 0- 0 1- 1 0- 0 1/15 0/14 0/36 1/35 1/22 0/11 1/23 1 3.00
Thomas, DeAndre 6:48 + 5 0/16 0- 1 0- 0 0- 0 1/10 2/ 9 0/12 0/11 0/ 6 0/ 5 2/11 2 0.00
TOTALS 40:00 77 13-31 7-11 30-34 42 14/20 4/75 23/74 4/43 9/25 37/51 17 1.32
.419 .636 .882 .700 .053 .311 .093 .360 .725

Efficiency: Purdue 0.907, Indiana 1.041
eFG%: Purdue 39.6, Indiana 56.0
Substitutions: Purdue 29, Indiana 22

2-pt shot selection
Dunks: Purdue 0-0, Indiana 3-3
Layups/Tips: Purdue 11-28, Indiana 7-15
Jumpers: Purdue 7-15, Indiana 3-13

The HD Box Score is something created by Ken Pomeroy, which I've tried to duplicate for my own purposes. kenpom explains the data here. The only thing different here is the Points Per Weighted Shot (PPWS) column, which John Gasaway (the erstwhile Big Ten Wonk) told me about here.