Not Even Looking At the Glass

I don’t like to think of myself as an optimist or a pessimist, really. Heck this week, I’ve just been busy. I realize this is only the second day of the week, but that’s the way it’s been. In light of all that busyosity I haven’t had time to give a ton of thought to Indiana’s trip to MSG to face Pittsburgh tonight. The few ounces of thought I have given it say this: the Hoosiers lose tonight. The Big Ten Geeks think it will be close because Pitt hasn’t beaten anyone and needed double OT to beat Duquesne. I hope they’re right. Hell, I hope if they’re wrong, it’s because the Hoosiers pulled out the W. Unfortunately, the numbers for Pitt and IU say to me that the Panthers are good at defense in general. More specifically, they hang their hats on cleaning up the defensive glass and keeping their opponents off the free throw line. On offense, they get to the free throw line and make a lot of 2-pointers.

In contrast, IU is not especially good at offense. Their biggest strengths are on the offensive glass and getting to the free throw line. Those match up with Pitt’s defensive strengths. On D, the Hoosiers are pretty middle of the road in defending 2-pointers. From watching games, my feeling is that these Hoosiers have a very hard time defending the paint, and that is where the Panthers make their hay. It could be a tough night for these young, skinny Hoosiers.

But let’s stick with not looking at that glass. Let’s wait and see what happens when the game is played in our TV sets.

Maryland vs. Indiana HD Box 12-1-09

Maryland vs Indiana
12/1/09 7:32 p.m. at Assembly Hall, Bloomington, Ind.

Maryland                Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF PPWS
Mosley, Sean           38:30  +15  13/74  5- 8  0- 1  3- 4  9/54  3/20  1/75  4/74  0/43  2/33  7/50   3 1.19
Vasquez, Greivis       36:14  + 9  23/73  2- 9  2- 5 13-14 14/52  8/19  0/69  3/69  1/40  2/33  3/46   1 1.11
Hayes, Eric            35:45  + 9  14/70  3- 6  2- 4  2- 2 10/48  2/16  1/69  2/68  0/41  0/32  1/47   3 1.28
Milbourne, Landon      29:07  +19  19/65  7- 9  1- 2  2- 2 11/42  1/13  3/57  4/56  2/33  4/24  3/43   3 1.59
Williams, Jordan       28:30  + 6   5/52  2- 7  0- 0  1- 5  7/43  0/16  1/56  2/55  2/30  2/29  9/33   2 0.53
Bowie, Adrian          12:37  - 1   5/24  2- 4  0- 0  1- 2  4/17  0/ 7  1/24  3/24  0/12  0/11  1/10   2 1.01
Padgett, James         11:05  + 3   0/24  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/12  1/ 8  1/21  0/20  1/14  0/ 5  3/16   3   --
Choi, Jin Soo           8:11    0   1/18  0- 0  0- 0  1- 2  0/ 7  0/ 5  0/14  0/14  0/ 7  0/ 3  2/ 5   2 1.05
TOTALS                 40:00          80 21-43  5-12 23-31    55 15/26  8/79 18/78  6/44 11/34 30/50  19 1.15
                                          .488  .417  .742        .577  .101  .231  .136  .324  .600    

Indiana                 Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF PPWS
Jones III, Verdell     28:25  - 8   6/48  3-11  0- 4  0- 0 15/51  3/14  0/58  3/58  0/31  4/38  6/27   2 0.40
Creek, Maurice         28:04  - 5  19/55  3- 5  3- 9  4- 4 14/48  1/11  0/54  1/52  0/29  3/31  1/23   3 1.19
Watford, Christian     25:56  - 1  16/43  4- 8  1- 1  5- 7  9/39  1/11  2/49  5/49  2/30  1/24  2/30   1 1.30
Pritchard, Tom         25:03  -11   2/34  1- 2  0- 0  0- 0  2/36  0/12  0/43  0/45  0/23  2/25  2/18   4 1.00
Dumes, Devan           23:30  + 1   8/33  0- 4  2- 6  2- 2 10/33  2/ 9  1/32  1/35  0/20  2/22  0/15   2 0.73
Hulls, Jordan          20:37  - 8   5/38  0- 1  1- 4  2- 2  5/44  2/11  0/41  0/38  0/18  1/34  0/13   2 0.84
Elston, Derek          19:52  - 4   5/38  2- 8  0- 2  1- 3 10/42  1/10  1/41  2/43  0/23  4/33  5/14   4 0.44
Rivers, Jeremiah       18:56  -12   5/30  2- 4  0- 0  1- 3  4/31  2/ 8  1/39  4/40  1/24  2/24  4/19   2 0.92
Moore, Daniel           4:50  - 1   2/10  1- 1  0- 0  0- 1  1/ 9  1/ 3  0/ 9  0/11  0/ 7  0/ 6  0/ 5   2 1.36
Jobe, Tijan             3:30  - 4   0/ 6  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 6  0/ 2  0/ 7  0/ 5  0/ 6  0/ 4  0/ 2   0   --
Capobianco, Bobby       3:29  - 4   0/ 5  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 9  0/ 1  0/ 6  0/ 7  0/ 4  0/ 7  0/ 4   0   --
TOTALS                 40:00          68 16-44  7-26 15-22    70 13/23  5/78 16/79  3/43 20/50 23/34  22 0.85
                                          .364  .269  .682        .565  .064  .203  .070  .400  .676    

Efficiency: Maryland 1.026, Indiana 0.861
eFG%: Maryland 51.8, Indiana 37.9
Substitutions: Maryland 35, Indiana 46

2-pt shot selection
Dunks: Maryland 0-0, Indiana 1-2
Layups/Tips: Maryland 13-29, Indiana 7-27
Jumpers: Maryland 8-14, Indiana 8-15

The HD Box Score is something created by Ken Pomeroy, which I've tried to duplicate for my own purposes. kenpom explains the data here. The only thing different here is the Points Per Weighted Shot (PPWS) column, which John Gasaway (the erstwhile Big Ten Wonk) told me about here.

Maryland                ScPoss  Poss    PtsProd FlrPct  ORat    Usage   OEff+/- DEff+/- EffMargin+/-
Milbourne, Landon       7.53    13.49   17.02   0.56    126.12  24.10   47.89   -55.66  103.55      
Hayes, Eric             5.12    10.39   12.91   0.49    124.27  15.28   2.94    -61.59  64.54       
Choi, Jin Soo           0.66    0.89    1.00    0.73    111.68  6.38    31.70   39.34   -7.64       
Mosley, Sean            6.84    13.57   14.35   0.50    105.75  18.34   -50.00  -346.33 296.33      
Williams, Jordan        3.03    9.82    5.77    0.31    58.77   17.85   -27.19  -48.29  21.10       
Vasquez, Greivis        12.23   21.80   28.36   0.56    130.11  31.59   28.02   -27.25  55.27       
Bowie, Adrian           2.16    6.70    4.26    0.32    63.47   27.93   -3.70   11.44   -15.14      
Padgett, James          0.24    0.24    0.57    1.00    237.61  1.19    23.45   5.17    18.28       

Indiana                 ScPoss  Poss    PtsProd FlrPct  ORat    Usage   OEff+/- DEff+/- EffMargin+/-
Hulls, Jordan           2.19    4.48    5.91    0.49    131.84  11.79   26.83   41.92   -15.10      
Watford, Christian      6.66    14.22   14.33   0.47    100.76  29.02   4.42    -6.76   11.18       
Creek, Maurice          6.74    12.32   17.40   0.55    141.29  23.69   57.62   61.11   -3.49       
Rivers, Jeremiah        2.89    8.67    5.85    0.33    67.51   21.67   -22.44  30.77   -53.21      
Moore, Daniel           0.72    1.19    1.64    0.60    136.95  10.85   5.61    33.82   -28.20      
Jones III, Verdell      3.75    13.61   8.38    0.28    61.59   23.46   -12.48  16.55   -29.03      
Capobianco, Bobby       0.00    0.00    0.00    NaN     NaN     0.00    -16.07  62.50   -78.57      
Pritchard, Tom          1.06    1.63    2.29    0.65    140.60  3.62    -24.44  27.51   -51.95      
Elston, Derek           3.19    10.40   6.43    0.31    61.83   24.19   5.04    21.36   -16.32      
Dumes, Devan            3.16    8.74    8.90    0.36    101.88  24.96   14.74   13.04   1.70        
Jobe, Tijan             0.00    0.00    0.00    NaN     NaN     0.00    36.22   55.53   -19.32      

Northwestern State vs. Indiana HD Box 11-28-09

Northwestern State vs Indiana
11/28/09 3:36 p.m. at Assembly Hall, Bloomington, Ind.

Northwestern State      Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF PPWS
Mosley, William        22:48  -13   1/40  0- 0  0- 0  1- 2  0/30  4/12  1/47  3/47  3/16  1/20  5/20   5 1.05
Baker, Devon           21:04  -14  14/55  0- 1  3- 4  5- 6  5/46  2/15  1/66  3/65  0/29  2/32  2/26   2 1.78
Brooks, Aramie         20:12  -11   9/37  4-10  0- 0  1- 4 10/30  0/ 9  0/41  0/40  0/20  2/23  4/15   2 0.76
Jones, Damon           18:47  -20   9/28  3- 5  1- 4  0- 0  9/23  0/ 6  1/42  3/41  0/17  0/15  0/22   1 1.00
Pratt, Will            18:22  - 6  10/35  4- 8  0- 0  2- 2  8/29  1/ 8  1/37  3/36  0/19  2/20  3/12   4 1.12
McConathy, Logan       18:15  -10   7/40  0- 0  2- 3  1- 2  3/27  3/11  1/40  2/38  0/18  0/19  0/12   1 1.77
Clark, Charles         17:03  -11   3/30  1- 1  0- 2  1- 3  3/23  1/ 6  0/38  2/38  0/14  0/19  3/18   3 0.68
McConathy, Michael     16:57  - 9   6/26  1- 5  1- 3  1- 2  8/22  2/ 6  0/32  3/35  0/16  1/16  0/17   3 0.67
Davis, Shamir          12:07    0   8/27  2- 3  0- 0  4- 4  3/19  0/ 7  0/26  0/25  0/12  0/13  0/10   1 1.63
Knight, Dominic        10:58  - 8   2/17  0- 3  0- 0  2- 2  3/15  0/ 5  0/24  3/25  0/10  0/10  3/12   4 0.51
Hulbin, James          10:46  - 1   1/19  0- 3  0- 0  1- 2  3/17  1/ 6  2/20  0/21  1/ 9  1/11  2/ 8   1 0.25
Dixon, Cory             3:08  + 5   2/ 6  1- 1  0- 1  0- 0  2/ 4  1/ 1  0/ 6  1/ 7  0/ 1  0/ 2  0/ 4   2 1.00
Conine, John            0:42  + 2   0/ 2  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 2  0/ 1  0/ 0  0/ 1  0/ 0  1/ 1  0/ 0   0   --
TOTALS                 40:00          72 16-40  7-17 19-29    57 15/23  7/83 23/85  4/36 11/40 25/35  29 1.02
                                          .400  .412  .655        .652  .084  .271  .111  .275  .714    

Indiana                 Min   +/-   Pts  2PM-A 3PM-A FTM-A  FGA    A    Stl    TO   Blk    OR    DR   PF PPWS
Rivers, Jeremiah       35:15  +21   6/83  1- 2  0- 0  4- 6  2/44 10/22  2/73  5/74  0/36  0/28  7/35   1 1.24
Creek, Maurice         25:21  + 6  17/44  2- 5  2- 5  7- 8 10/34  2/ 7  2/53  0/55  0/28  1/27  3/26   1 1.23
Watford, Christian     23:11  +18  17/53  5- 6  0- 1  7- 8  7/31  2/10  2/49  2/48  1/25  0/18  5/28   3 1.57
Dumes, Devan           22:11  + 6  11/53  1- 3  2- 4  3- 4  7/30  1/14  1/45  2/46  0/25  1/16  2/21   2 1.24
Jones III, Verdell     21:32  +22   8/55  1- 6  1- 2  3- 4  8/31  4/13  0/46  4/44  1/21  1/19  3/26   3 0.81
Elston, Derek          17:45  + 9  12/45  4- 5  1- 2  1- 1  7/23  0/ 7  4/36  1/38  0/16  2/17  3/11   1 1.61
Pritchard, Tom         12:41  + 9   5/31  1- 2  0- 0  3- 4  2/15  0/ 7  0/22  0/21  1/14  2/ 9  1/12   5 1.28
Jobe, Tijan            11:45    0   4/22  2- 2  0- 0  0- 0  2/14  0/ 5  0/26  2/27  2/13  0/ 8  0/12   4 2.00
Capobianco, Bobby      10:50  + 5   1/23  0- 3  0- 0  1- 2  3/17  0/ 6  1/25  2/26  0/ 8  0/14  0/10   1 0.25
Hulls, Jordan           6:56    0   2/11  1- 1  0- 2  0- 0  3/ 9  0/ 2  0/15  0/16  0/ 4  0/ 9  0/ 4   0 0.67
Moore, Daniel           6:15  + 5   6/20  1- 1  0- 0  4- 4  1/ 7  0/ 4  1/12  0/11  0/ 4  0/ 4  0/ 5   1 2.07
Muniru, Bawa            1:52  - 5   1/ 1  0- 0  0- 0  1- 2  0/ 2  0/ 0  0/ 4  0/ 3  0/ 3  0/ 3  0/ 4   1 1.05
Barnett, Kory           1:28  - 2   0/ 3  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 1  0/ 1  0/ 3  0/ 2  0/ 1  0/ 1  0/ 2   0   --
Finkelmeier, Brett      1:28  - 2   0/ 3  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 1  0/ 1  0/ 3  0/ 2  0/ 1  0/ 1  0/ 2   0   --
Gambles, Steven         1:28  - 2   0/ 3  0- 0  0- 0  0- 0  0/ 1  0/ 1  0/ 3  0/ 2  0/ 1  0/ 1  1/ 2   0   --
TOTALS                 40:00          90 19-36  6-16 34-43    52 19/25 13/85 18/83  5/40 10/35 29/40  23 1.24
                                          .528  .375  .791        .760  .153  .217  .125  .286  .725    

Efficiency: Northwestern State 0.847, Indiana 1.084
eFG%: Northwestern State 46.5, Indiana 53.8
Substitutions: Northwestern State 46, Indiana 48

2-pt shot selection
Dunks: Northwestern State 1-1, Indiana 2-2
Layups/Tips: Northwestern State 8-20, Indiana 13-22
Jumpers: Northwestern State 7-19, Indiana 4-12

The HD Box Score is something created by Ken Pomeroy, which I've tried to duplicate for my own purposes. kenpom explains the data here. The only thing different here is the Points Per Weighted Shot (PPWS) column, which John Gasaway (the erstwhile Big Ten Wonk) told me about here.

Northwestern State      ScPoss  Poss    PtsProd FlrPct  ORat    Usage   OEff+/- DEff+/- EffMargin+/-
Davis, Shamir           3.08    3.79    6.82    0.81    180.27  15.14   33.00   19.64   13.36       
Knight, Dominic         0.88    6.00    2.00    0.15    33.28   24.00   -23.67  19.42   -43.09      
Brooks, Aramie          4.28    9.58    8.49    0.45    88.63   23.95   14.72   52.79   -38.07      
Conine, John            0.23    0.23    0.47    1.00    204.91  22.95   116.67  NaN     NaN         
McConathy, Logan        2.46    5.40    6.31    0.46    116.73  14.22   37.18   66.86   -29.68      
Baker, Devon            5.36    9.85    13.10   0.54    133.05  15.15   -0.38   69.25   -69.64      
McConathy, Michael      2.98    10.46   6.99    0.29    66.86   29.87   -17.71  30.94   -48.66      
Pratt, Will             4.40    10.22   9.60    0.43    93.94   28.40   21.71   36.90   -15.19      
Jones, Damon            2.89    9.42    6.99    0.31    74.24   22.97   -31.71  48.43   -80.14      
Hulbin, James           1.12    3.47    2.03    0.32    58.53   16.54   7.66    12.70   -5.03       
Clark, Charles          1.77    5.82    3.30    0.30    56.81   15.31   -10.41  32.34   -42.75      
Dixon, Cory             0.84    2.54    1.87    0.33    73.64   36.31   1.10    -79.44  80.54       
Mosley, William         1.75    4.99    3.61    0.35    72.27   10.62   0.90    51.65   -50.76      

Indiana                 ScPoss  Poss    PtsProd FlrPct  ORat    Usage   OEff+/- DEff+/- EffMargin+/-
Barnett, Kory           0.00    0.00    0.00    NaN     NaN     0.00    42.59   66.67   -24.07      
Hulls, Jordan           0.78    2.17    1.68    0.36    77.69   13.54   -49.16  -35.24  -13.92      
Watford, Christian      6.98    10.43   14.79   0.67    141.80  21.73   4.70    -73.02  77.72       
Creek, Maurice          7.20    11.43   16.74   0.63    146.47  20.78   -84.29  -81.43  -2.86       
Finkelmeier, Brett      0.00    0.00    0.00    NaN     NaN     0.00    42.59   66.67   -24.07      
Rivers, Jeremiah        5.64    11.65   11.82   0.48    101.46  15.75   34.38   -123.40 157.79      
Moore, Daniel           2.18    2.18    4.93    1.00    225.64  19.86   84.60   26.37   58.23       
Jones III, Verdell      4.68    12.96   10.64   0.36    82.10   29.46   35.26   -66.72  101.98      
Muniru, Bawa            0.66    0.89    1.00    0.73    111.58  29.81   -77.92  50.00   -127.92     
Capobianco, Bobby       0.66    4.98    1.00    0.13    20.05   19.14   -29.08  -43.00  13.92       
Gambles, Steven         0.00    0.00    0.00    NaN     NaN     0.00    42.59   66.67   -24.07      
Pritchard, Tom          3.05    3.87    5.95    0.79    153.89  18.42   52.46   -3.17   55.63       
Elston, Derek           3.70    6.09    8.52    0.61    139.87  16.02   18.42   -4.08   22.50       
Dumes, Devan            4.30    9.20    10.24   0.47    111.32  19.99   15.22   4.44    10.77       
Jobe, Tijan             0.96    2.96    2.07    0.32    70.06   10.95   -39.95  -25.55  -14.39